Toward a Low carbon agribusiness - Summary for Brazil August

August in Brazil brought a lot of Multi-stakeholder dialogue!
Mainly focusing on Rio+20.
Especially in agri-business sector.

Government (environmental Ministry) started the month calling business to define what would be for this sector the best way to translate Nagoya goals. Next steps will be to call NGO, academy, communities and, of course the government itself.

New! Agribusiness sector (CNA) also stared a new way to approach theIr discussion toward a low carbon economy!
Adaptation for agribusiness has been on the agenda since - even for the most skeptical - changes started already to happen and agribusiness is already noticing differences.
Scenarios prepared by academics presented 9 crops and some possibilities for 2020, 2040, 2050 if nothing happens in mitigation nor adaptation for Brazil
here some ex(from academia):
coffee:
2020 - Low risk scenario: 10% less yield
in terms of regions, for Brazil the worse would be north-east:
all scenarios would cause changes in production. But 4C increase temp it would become a desert

Soybean (weather dependent):
if nothing change for 2020 it would loose 20% in terms of area

would be some benefit?
Yes for sugarcane (CO2 and high temp related)
Real opportunity:
Coffee/seringueira or fruits: mitigate 1 to 2 C in the coffee area increasing income

Cost for doing nothing in adaptation:
1 MI R$/yr x 10 hrs x 3 years (multiplication)

"The grower need to understand the climate change is serious"
News?
A new Intl Climate Change Lab applied to agriculture is starting to be build inside Unicamp with support from government
To evaluate:
Crop shifts scenarios
Opportunities in terms of breeding and technologies
database Improvement
Systems Management (integration agri-pasture-forestry)
nitrogen opportunities evaluation (since 1kg= 4,5 kg CO2)
investment in drought tolerance

Companies, government, growers and NGOs are all looking for the best way to incorporate costs in the product.
Some good cases but still challenge: looking for regulation and process incorporation from field to market.

Global agricultural demand increasing fuel, food, fiber continuously up to 2030
Stocks in the lowest level. Only the chain, together in a Multi-stakeholder dialogue across countries can generate a real solution.
Beyond good cases, the society needs to incorporate the cost for conservation in the production value.
Without paradigm. And environment ministry in Brazil has been crucial in this path. Agriculture solutions ask for innovative finance services, projects optimization and cradle to cradle Evaluation.
In this search, measures and reports are crucial for companies and for their chain helping evaluation.
Only a coordinated action from field to market can help to build a low carbon economy!